Roflan-ludoman · Polymarket wallet 0xfcf2…a469

Wallet snapshot

Roflan-ludoman has made 103,879 trades on Polymarket across 1,059 markets, $16M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (34%) and politics (20%). On 1,018 resolved markets the win rate is 62.2%, lifetime P&L +$195K. It holds 29 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Another Fed rate hike in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 31, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · $29K · 78¢ → 78¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $23K · 78¢ → 91¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $12K · 54¢ → 96¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $11K · 86¢ → 98¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $9,925 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes · $4,976 · 19¢ → 21¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $4,534 · 64¢ → 91¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $4,214 · 77¢ → 100¢
• Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes · $3,919 · 22¢ → 23¢
• Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes · $2,308 · 59¢ → 55¢

Latest closed positions

• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes · -$18K · Nov 3, 2026
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No · +$13K · Nov 3, 2026
• Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be under 5.3?Yes · -$8 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be under 5.3?No · +$13 · Nov 1, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?Yes · +$26 · Oct 31, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?No · +$395 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.