YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$382.6K
3,841 trades
Smart Whales
135
of 555 traders · 2 on both sides
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
5 MARKETS · $798.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026←
22¢+17¢$382.6K53/83Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026←+17¢22¢
$382.6K53/83
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026
70¢−31¢$156.9K48/75Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026−31¢70¢
$156.9K48/75
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026
8¢+24¢$136.6K34/72Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026+24¢8¢
$136.6K34/72
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
54 YESvs83 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 91%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$1.5K+4 new NO$164
$29 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$549 of $62.5K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $9.2K·NO $52.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$16.4K
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.6K(-15.8%)
Whales
54
N
notssf3🥇
Entry 44¢·6,205.1 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-1390
$-1390INV $2.7K · WR 60.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·2,904 shares·also $392 on NO
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2030
$-2030INV $2.7K · WR 55.3%
P
podairpod🥉hedged
Entry 57¢·2,624.2 shares·also $515 on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-939
$-939INV $1.5K · WR 60.0%
P
puravida
Entry 16¢·8,124 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$485
+$485INV $1.3K · WR 59.9%
O
Orange.gold
Entry 41¢·2,800 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-480
$-480INV $1.1K · WR 62.1%
M
MEPP
Entry 25¢·4,358.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-153
$-153INV $1.1K · WR 64.2%
D
debased◆Proven
Entry 9¢·8,840 shares
Invested
$796
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$1105
+$1105INV $796 · WR 65.9%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 19¢·2,208.6 shares·also $1.7K on NO
Invested
$415
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $415 · WR 58.8%
K
kekkone◆Proven
Entry 23¢·1,650 shares
Invested
$386
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $386 · WR 74.5%
G
gambler925
Entry 13¢·2,694.1 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$282
+$282INV $351 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 54
NO Team
Total Invested
$72.0K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+2.5%)
Whales
83
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥇hedged
Entry 85¢·50,000 shares·also $270 on YES
Invested
$42.5K
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-3250
$-3250INV $42.5K · WR 62.7%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 82¢·4,182 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $3.4K · WR 77.6%
4
456ythgbvcadscvb🥉
Entry 74¢·4,191.6 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$189
+$189INV $3.1K · WR 77.6%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 77¢·2,222 shares·also $415 on YES
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $1.7K · WR 58.8%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 82¢·1,795.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $1.5K · WR 64.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 70¢·2,025.6 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$169
+$169INV $1.4K · WR 72.2%
S
S55
Entry 85¢·1,468.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $1.2K · WR 66.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 60¢·1,730.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$323
+$323INV $1.0K · WR 79.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 80¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$798
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $798 · WR 57.7%
P
podairpodhedged
Entry 16¢·3,196.4 shares·also $1.5K on YES
Invested
$515
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1994
+$1994INV $515 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 83
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1402ms