Economics58 days left
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$54.2K
1,015 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 222 traders
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
5 MARKETS · $247.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
67¢−32¢$52.6K24/44Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)−32¢67¢
$52.6K24/44
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←
22¢+8¢$54.2K18/42Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←+8¢22¢
$54.2K18/42
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
11¢+18¢$80.0K20/50Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+18¢11¢
$80.0K20/50
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs42 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.3K is directional: YES $1.7K·NO $3.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$127(-4.0%)
Whales
18
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 25¢·3,141 shares
Invested
$775
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $775 · WR 72.2%
G
gambler925🥈
Entry 24¢·2,105.5 shares
Invested
$505
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $505 · WR 56.1%
D
DancewithRisk🥉
Entry 81¢·575.7 shares
Invested
$465
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-341
$-341INV $465 · WR 66.1%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3
Entry 13¢·2,800 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
96.6%
Position P&L
+$252
+$252INV $350 · WR 96.6%
N
ndb1
Entry 17¢·1,722.9 shares
Invested
$293
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $293 · WR 73.5%
P
podairpod
Entry 28¢·735.2 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $206 · WR 60.0%
P
Pointless-Person
Entry 21¢·740.9 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $156 · WR 55.6%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 14¢·900 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $123 · WR 70.5%
S
sportsports
Entry 38¢·111.6 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $43 · WR 61.3%
P
puravida
Entry 13¢·126.1 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $17 · WR 59.9%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.6K
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+13.5%)
Whales
42
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 82¢·3,616.8 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $3.0K · WR 77.6%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 73¢·2,495.6 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$135
+$135INV $1.8K · WR 69.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 52¢·1,536.2 shares
Invested
$796
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$409
+$409INV $796 · WR 87.7%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·740 shares
Invested
$370
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$211
+$211INV $370 · WR 84.1%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 81¢·446.6 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $363 · WR 64.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 52¢·597.9 shares
Invested
$311
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$159
+$159INV $311 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 82¢·287 shares
Invested
$234
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $234 · WR 87.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 52¢·447.5 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $233 · WR 79.2%
Q
qcp2
Entry 84¢·67.6 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $57 · WR 65.1%
K
kiohssudhhd
Entry 76¢·65 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $49 · WR 83.1%
Showing top 10 of 42
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