qcp2 · Polymarket wallet 0xd245…2318

Wallet snapshot

qcp2 has made 22,752 trades on Polymarket across 664 markets, $45K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (36%) and politics (29%). On 516 resolved markets the win rate is 65.1%, lifetime P&L +$1,246. It holds 138 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No · $127 · 56¢ → 81¢
• Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No · $74 · 83¢ → 94¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $62 · 42¢ → 69¢
• Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No · $62 · 83¢ → 92¢
• Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No · $50 · 41¢ → 36¢
• Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?No · $41 · 76¢ → 81¢
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · $39 · 84¢ → 86¢
• Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes · $36 · 38¢ → 19¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No · $35 · 30¢ → 22¢
• Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes · $32 · 96¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?No · -$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?No · -$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes · +$0 · Oct 4, 2026

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