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Geopolitics80 days left

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
73¢
73% implied
NO Price
27¢
27% implied
Volume
$1.37M
18,173 trades
Smart Whales
110
of 1,157 traders · 1 on both sides

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

12 MARKETS · $5.49M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

36 YESvs75 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 74%
+1 new YES$15+1 new NO$5
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $2.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.7K·NO $219
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.8K
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.6K(+137.5%)
Whales
36
G
gym-402🥇
Entry 23¢·10,000 shares
+$4975INV $2.3K · WR 57.1%
P
paddaa🥈
Entry 21¢·2,201.7 shares
+$1128INV $471 · WR 61.1%
H
Horrible-Blazer🥉hedged
Entry 84¢·267.7 shares·also $143 on NO
$-30INV $224 · WR 55.9%
C
calm.rabbit
Entry 49¢·438.3 shares
+$103INV $216 · WR 61.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 73¢·263.9 shares
$-7INV $192 · WR 68.2%
H
HolyMoses7Proven
Entry 51¢·364 shares
+$79INV $185 · WR 77.6%
S
SunXiaochuan6
Entry 76¢·236.5 shares
$-13INV $179 · WR 81.8%
C
Cungly
Entry 86¢·200 shares
$-27INV $173 · WR 65.2%
P
Pyrrinehedged
Entry 66¢·245 shares·also $84 on NO
+$17INV $161 · WR 60.0%
M
MEPP
Entry 56¢·270.9 shares
+$45INV $152 · WR 64.2%
Showing top 10 of 36

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: Israel strike 4 countries in 2026