calm.rabbit · Polymarket wallet 0x33db…417a

Wallet snapshot

calm.rabbit has made 20,818 trades on Polymarket across 965 markets, $995K in volume. Most of it is in tech (30%) and geopolitics (27%). On 914 resolved markets the win rate is 61.7%, lifetime P&L +$24K. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes · $271 · 49¢ → 62¢
• Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $172 · 79¢ → 86¢
• Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No · $115 · 76¢ → 89¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No · $65 · 52¢ → 22¢
• Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?No · $52 · 23¢ → 9¢
• AI bubble burst in 2026?No · $41 · 75¢ → 93¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No · $33 · 36¢ → 16¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No · $30 · 55¢ → 96¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No · $19 · 52¢ → 30¢
• Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?No · $15 · 34¢ → 69¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$4 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$87 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$88 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · -$27 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$44 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

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