Tech/AI80 days left
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$20.2K
1,128 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 238 traders
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
10 MARKETS · $133.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs49 NO
16%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%
+3 new YES$45+4 new NO$187
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.2K is directional: YES $80·NO $3.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$313
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$140(-44.7%)
Whales
9
M
M8880🥇
Entry 83¢·268.6 shares
Invested
$224
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-174
$-174INV $224 · WR 73.5%
W
Winged-Holder🥈
Entry 18¢·215 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $39 · WR 63.3%
S
Spectrum◆Proven🥉
Entry 21¢·133.3 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $28 · WR 60.9%
6
0x6cb26398...
Entry 36¢·14.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 63.6%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 28¢·15 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 67.2%
U
Uncomfortable-Jailhedged
Entry 4¢·74.3 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $3 · WR 63.6%
M
mimo-007
Entry 33¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 75.0%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 2¢·94 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $2 · WR 89.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 11¢·9.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.7K
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$946(+16.7%)
Whales
49
L
libratus1◆Proven🥇
Entry 88¢·3,356.4 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-304
$-304INV $2.9K · WR 68.7%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 73¢·492.6 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $361 · WR 87.7%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 55¢·454.6 shares
Invested
$252
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $252 · WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 55¢·383 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $209 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 67¢·307.5 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $206 · WR 87.7%
A
Anon321321
Entry 51¢·366.6 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $186 · WR 86.3%
K
korda77
Entry 67¢·237 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $159 · WR 85.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 84¢·155.2 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $131 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 69¢·159 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $109 · WR 86.0%
C
calm.rabbit
Entry 76¢·129.7 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $99 · WR 61.7%
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