PoliticsResolved
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$2.30M
20,956 trades
Smart Whales
396
of 1,841 traders · 3 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
170 YESvs229 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 78 YES vs 91 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$91 of $90.6K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $17.3K·NO $73.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$405.3K
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$128.0K(+31.6%)
Whales
170
F
Flipadelphia🥇
Entry 72¢·150,637 shares
Invested
$107.8K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$42825
+$42825INV $107.8K · WR 56.8%
S
ScottyNooo🥈
Entry 78¢·61,605.3 shares
Invested
$47.8K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$13785
+$13785INV $47.8K · WR 56.0%
M
mr.ozi◆Proven🥉
Entry 65¢·61,481.5 shares
Invested
$39.9K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$21589
+$21589INV $39.9K · WR 71.4%
S
spendingmoney
Entry 99¢·35,291.6 shares
Invested
$34.9K
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$403
+$403INV $34.9K · WR 59.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 76¢·20,893 shares·also $6.0K on NO
Invested
$15.9K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$5042
+$5042INV $15.9K · WR 55.3%
L
LulaVaiPerderhedged
Entry 76¢·20,152.5 shares·also $5.3K on NO
Invested
$15.3K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$4873
+$4873INV $15.3K · WR 75.2%
A
aviato
Entry 99¢·14,743.4 shares
Invested
$14.6K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$153
+$153INV $14.6K · WR 91.3%
T
ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Entry 78¢·18,627.6 shares
Invested
$14.5K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$4162
+$4162INV $14.5K · WR 69.7%
6
65765757
Entry 71¢·18,874.7 shares
Invested
$13.4K
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$5510
+$5510INV $13.4K · WR 78.2%
F
flawfence◆Proven
Entry 23¢·29,991.9 shares
Invested
$6.8K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$23150
+$23150INV $6.8K · WR 55.4%
Showing top 10 of 170
NO Team
Total Invested
$363.3K
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$250.0K(-68.8%)
Whales
229
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 53¢·128,768.8 shares
Invested
$68.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-68153
$-68153INV $68.2K · WR 85.8%
S
scottilicious🥈
Entry 82¢·45,374 shares
Invested
$37.1K
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-37098
$-37098INV $37.1K · WR 85.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 49¢·61,861.9 shares
Invested
$30.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-30072
$-30072INV $30.1K · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 60¢·49,890.6 shares
Invested
$29.8K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-29779
$-29779INV $29.8K · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 31¢·73,417.9 shares
Invested
$23.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-23041
$-23041INV $23.0K · WR 72.2%
R
Robust-Exhaust
Entry 88¢·13,118.4 shares
Invested
$11.5K
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-11549
$-11549INV $11.5K · WR 84.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 77¢·13,773.8 shares
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-10664
$-10664INV $10.7K · WR 79.6%
D
diadjaid
Entry 85¢·7,909.9 shares
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-6702
$-6702INV $6.7K · WR 55.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 29¢·20,892.9 shares·also $15.9K on YES
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-6021
$-6021INV $6.0K · WR 55.3%
J
JoeBlack01
Entry 83¢·7,149.5 shares
Invested
$5.9K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-5937
$-5937INV $5.9K · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 229
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