almost-never · Polymarket wallet 0x88b5…205c

Wallet snapshot

almost-never has made 12,248 trades on Polymarket across 356 markets, $6.0M in volume. Most of it is in politics (74%) and sports (11%). On 352 resolved markets the win rate is 73%, lifetime P&L +$91K. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $205K · 50¢ → 79¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $55K · 50¢ → 21¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $20K · 62¢ → 63¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $9,955 · 80¢ → 91¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $272 · 80¢ → 91¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $1 · 75¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$131 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$310 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes · -$32 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?No · +$30 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$70 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

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