Economics56 days left
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
YES Price
65¢
65% implied
NO Price
35¢
35% implied
Volume
$62.8K
1,329 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 272 traders
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
5 MARKETS · $273.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←
65¢−31¢$62.8K21/40Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←−31¢65¢
$62.8K21/40
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
20¢+12¢$64.6K19/40Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+12¢20¢
$64.6K19/40
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
13¢+13¢$82.0K18/51Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+13¢13¢
$82.0K18/51
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs41 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 62% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$5.8K+36 new NO$6.4K
$1.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12.8K is directional: YES $7.9K·NO $4.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$9.9K
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+21.9%)
Whales
23
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 33¢·8,359.2 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1435
+$1435INV $2.7K · WR 72.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 64¢·2,292.8 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-325
$-325INV $1.5K · WR 57.6%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 52¢·2,805.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$347
+$347INV $1.5K · WR 69.3%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3
Entry 50¢·2,697.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
96.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1.3K · WR 96.6%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 30¢·2,948 shares
Invested
$888
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$585
+$585INV $888 · WR 77.6%
P
podairpod
Entry 60¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$598
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $598 · WR 60.0%
A
Ahpo
Entry 46¢·1,100 shares
Invested
$506
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$203
+$203INV $506 · WR 92.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 66¢·393.6 shares
Invested
$259
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $259 · WR 68.2%
A
AnonTet◆Proven
Entry 33¢·500 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $163 · WR 65.0%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 64¢·240 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $154 · WR 64.7%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.3K
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$108(-1.5%)
Whales
41
P
puravida🥇
Entry 40¢·7,324.6 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$768
+$768INV $2.9K · WR 59.8%
B
betwick◆Proven🥈
Entry 72¢·2,295.8 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-505
$-505INV $1.7K · WR 59.7%
M
merod🥉
Entry 74¢·740 shares
Invested
$548
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-285
$-285INV $548 · WR 84.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 43¢·480.4 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $205 · WR 55.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 38¢·494.7 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $189 · WR 79.6%
D
DancewithRisk
Entry 36¢·470 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $169 · WR 66.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 47¢·313.9 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $148 · WR 85.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 47¢·270.1 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $126 · WR 76.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 56¢·204 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $114 · WR 85.8%
D
debased◆Proven
Entry 57¢·114.6 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $66 · WR 65.9%
Showing top 10 of 41
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