Economics47 days left
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
YES Price
72¢
72% implied
NO Price
28¢
28% implied
Volume
$105.9K
2,010 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 335 traders
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
5 MARKETS · $415.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←
72¢−39¢$105.9K27/56Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←−39¢72¢
$105.9K27/56
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
21¢+8¢$118.8K21/52Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+8¢21¢
$118.8K21/52
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
6¢+26¢$101.5K27/58Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+26¢6¢
$101.5K27/58
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs56 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 70% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 67%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$6.0K+39 new NO$3.6K
$2.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $15.9K is directional: YES $11.1K·NO $4.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$13.4K
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.9K(+44.5%)
Whales
28
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 35¢·7,900.3 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$2908
+$2908INV $2.7K · WR 72.1%
B
browne🥈
Entry 69¢·3,079.3 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $2.1K · WR 76.0%
P
podairpod🥉
Entry 59¢·3,495.7 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$453
+$453INV $2.0K · WR 59.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 52¢·2,805.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$543
+$543INV $1.5K · WR 69.5%
C
c10rmain
Entry 69¢·1,995.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $1.4K · WR 59.3%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 33¢·3,170 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$1219
+$1219INV $1.0K · WR 77.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 72¢·1,106.7 shares
Invested
$796
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $796 · WR 57.6%
A
Ahpo
Entry 45¢·1,151 shares
Invested
$522
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$301
+$301INV $522 · WR 92.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 65¢·492.9 shares
Invested
$319
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $319 · WR 68.0%
A
AnonTet◆Proven
Entry 33¢·500 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$195
+$195INV $163 · WR 65.0%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.2K
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.6K(-35.1%)
Whales
56
P
puravida🥇
Entry 40¢·7,149.5 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-788
$-788INV $2.8K · WR 59.6%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3🥈
Entry 68¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
96.6%
Position P&L
$-1172
$-1172INV $2.0K · WR 96.6%
B
betwick◆Proven🥉
Entry 72¢·2,295.8 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-998
$-998INV $1.7K · WR 59.6%
M
merod
Entry 74¢·740 shares
Invested
$548
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-337
$-337INV $548 · WR 84.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 38¢·898.9 shares
Invested
$339
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $339 · WR 79.6%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 39¢·614.1 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $240 · WR 85.9%
D
DancewithRisk
Entry 36¢·470 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $169 · WR 65.7%
L
lpgb
Entry 47¢·270.1 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $127 · WR 76.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 31¢·275 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $84 · WR 86.1%
A
0xa169f83d...
Entry 28¢·263.4 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $73 · WR 69.3%
Showing top 10 of 56
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