Economics47 days left
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$58.8K
1,536 trades
Smart Whales
66
of 247 traders · 2 on both sides
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
5 MARKETS · $399.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
74¢−41¢$101.3K27/56Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)−41¢74¢
$101.3K27/56
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
23¢+6¢$110.4K21/52Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+6¢23¢
$110.4K21/52
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
2¢+30¢$100.2K27/58Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+30¢2¢
$100.2K27/58
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Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs47 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 70% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$50+19 new NO$1.5K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$81 of $4.3K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $2.9K·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.2K(-92.8%)
Whales
21
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 15¢·10,947 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-1544
$-1544INV $1.6K · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 32¢·4,612.2 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-1411
$-1411INV $1.5K · WR 69.5%
P
podairpod🥉
Entry 16¢·4,200.1 shares
Invested
$689
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-654
$-654INV $689 · WR 59.2%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3
Entry 13¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$375
Win Rate
96.6%
Position P&L
$-350
$-350INV $375 · WR 96.6%
T
tinman2
Entry 23¢·434.7 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $100 · WR 66.3%
T
Te0n2
Entry 25¢·200 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $50 · WR 67.0%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 5¢·777.9 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $37 · WR 56.0%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 3¢·982.8 shares·also $858 on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $31 · WR 70.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 11¢·220.8 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $25 · WR 87.6%
P
puravida
Entry 2¢·971.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $20 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+23.3%)
Whales
47
M
melonmanm🥇hedged
Entry 87¢·982.8 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$858
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $858 · WR 70.1%
G
glm4.1.fund🥈
Entry 90¢·613.2 shares
Invested
$551
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $551 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 56¢·915 shares
Invested
$508
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$397
+$397INV $508 · WR 89.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 85¢·407.6 shares
Invested
$345
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $345 · WR 79.6%
M
merod
Entry 77¢·370 shares
Invested
$285
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $285 · WR 84.1%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 98¢·262.6 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $258 · WR 59.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 93¢·250.5 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $233 · WR 89.0%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 92¢·233.9 shares
Invested
$216
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $216 · WR 59.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 85¢·232.4 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $196 · WR 88.1%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 84¢·233.3 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $195 · WR 65.3%
Showing top 10 of 47
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