Economics48 days left
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$100.2K
2,010 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 327 traders · 3 on both sides
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
5 MARKETS · $399.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
74¢−41¢$101.3K27/56Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)−41¢74¢
$101.3K27/56
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
23¢+6¢$110.4K21/52Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+6¢23¢
$110.4K21/52
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←
2¢+30¢$100.2K27/58Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←+30¢2¢
$100.2K27/58
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs58 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$70+21 new NO$3.1K
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$215 of $14.0K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $7.0K·NO $6.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$14.9K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$13.1K(-87.7%)
Whales
27
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 24¢·18,271 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-4028
$-4028INV $4.4K · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 47¢·7,282.1 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-3276
$-3276INV $3.4K · WR 69.5%
P
podairpod🥉hedged
Entry 89¢·1,647.9 shares·also $378 on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-1443
$-1443INV $1.5K · WR 59.2%
C
Champions26
Entry 40¢·3,276.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-1241
$-1241INV $1.3K · WR 62.3%
P
plumbishedged
Entry 61¢·1,913.6 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-1139
$-1139INV $1.2K · WR 66.4%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 27¢·2,807.7 shares·also $1.5K on NO
Invested
$758
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-706
$-706INV $758 · WR 70.1%
B
betwick◆Proven
Entry 36¢·1,906.7 shares
Invested
$682
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-646
$-646INV $682 · WR 59.6%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3
Entry 13¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$375
Win Rate
96.6%
Position P&L
$-318
$-318INV $375 · WR 96.6%
P
puravida
Entry 11¢·899.5 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $102 · WR 59.6%
Q
qcp2hedged
Entry 39¢·191.2 shares·also $89 on NO
Invested
$74
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $74 · WR 65.2%
Showing top 10 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.7K
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.0K(+59.9%)
Whales
58
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 60¢·7,458 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$2824
+$2824INV $4.5K · WR 77.6%
P
plumbis🥈hedged
Entry 61¢·3,582.9 shares·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$1333
+$1333INV $2.2K · WR 66.4%
M
melonmanm🥉hedged
Entry 84¢·1,807.7 shares·also $758 on YES
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$260
+$260INV $1.5K · WR 70.1%
L
lihpare
Entry 76¢·1,232 shares
Invested
$940
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$268
+$268INV $940 · WR 80.8%
W
Wickier◆Proven
Entry 25¢·3,440.8 shares
Invested
$864
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$2513
+$2513INV $864 · WR 60.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 59¢·1,261.5 shares
Invested
$741
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$497
+$497INV $741 · WR 79.6%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 89¢·594.2 shares
Invested
$528
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $528 · WR 85.9%
M
merod
Entry 55¢·740 shares
Invested
$407
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$319
+$319INV $407 · WR 84.1%
D
debasedhedged
Entry 56¢·723.6 shares·also $33 on YES
Invested
$404
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$306
+$306INV $404 · WR 65.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 85¢·445 shares
Invested
$378
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $378 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 58
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