yamauris · Polymarket wallet 0x300d…ab3d

Wallet snapshot

yamauris has made 839 trades on Polymarket across 247 markets, $17K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (30%) and crypto (23%). On 216 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%, lifetime P&L +$719. It holds 13 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?". Last trade: Nov 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?No · $116 · 50¢ → 58¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No · $92 · 50¢ → 92¢
• Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $88 · 50¢ → 88¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $81 · 50¢ → 41¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Yes · $50 · 50¢ → 25¢
• Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?No · $32 · 50¢ → 32¢
• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $32 · 50¢ → 16¢
• Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $15 · 4¢ → 1¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $5 · 39¢ → 4¢
• Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes · $4 · 29¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No · +$39 · Nov 3, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · +$39 · Nov 3, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · -$16 · Nov 2, 2026
• Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?No · +$16 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes · +$12 · Nov 1, 2026
• Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes · -$14 · Nov 1, 2026

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