810 days left
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$59.9K
1,271 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 202 traders · 1 on both sides
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
3 MARKETS · $436.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs11 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$20 of $9.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $7.9K·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$9.1K
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.7K(-40.7%)
Whales
15
W
wqujvj🥇
Entry 62¢·4,069.8 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-1075
$-1075INV $2.5K · WR 63.2%
F
fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa🥈
Entry 70¢·3,471.7 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1198
$-1198INV $2.4K · WR 57.0%
H
Hakei.🥉
Entry 72¢·2,962.2 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-1073
$-1073INV $2.1K · WR 71.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·1,720 shares
Invested
$860
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-249
$-249INV $860 · WR 72.1%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 35¢·839.1 shares
Invested
$296
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $296 · WR 68.2%
S
StarMasterhedged
Entry 48¢·576.2 shares·also $174 on NO
Invested
$275
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $275 · WR 55.3%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 50¢·389.4 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $196 · WR 57.2%
P
ProfessionalPunter◆Proven
Entry 39¢·411 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $161 · WR 74.6%
D
Donknuth
Entry 34¢·407.8 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $138 · WR 57.8%
T
tt026hedged
Entry 27¢·236.3 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$65
Win Rate
94.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $65 · WR 94.0%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$858(+58.9%)
Whales
11
D
DerDon🥇hedged
Entry 34¢·1,653.4 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$570
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$497
+$497INV $570 · WR 56.4%
H
h038596027355🥈
Entry 70¢·311.7 shares
Invested
$217
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $217 · WR 76.5%
S
StarMaster🥉hedged
Entry 71¢·245 shares·also $275 on YES
Invested
$174
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $174 · WR 55.3%
D
DOJ
Entry 39¢·430 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $167 · WR 77.3%
1
101456
Entry 28¢·408.3 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$149
+$149INV $114 · WR 55.3%
T
tt026hedged
Entry 25¢·236.3 shares·also $65 on YES
Invested
$59
Win Rate
94.0%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $59 · WR 94.0%
E
easierthanmanifold
Entry 38¢·150 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $57 · WR 58.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 64¢·80 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $51 · WR 57.6%
R
reckonerhedged
Entry 62¢·43.4 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$27
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 91.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 67¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 11
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