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Geopolitics80 days left

Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$85.7K
1,675 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 250 traders

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 MARKETS · $895.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs21 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$66+3 new NO$193
$78 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.4K is directional: YES $712·NO $5.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-63.9%)
Whales
11
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 97¢·1,496.3 shares·also $499 on NO
$-1160INV $1.5K · WR 65.8%
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥈hedged
Entry 78¢·1,356.9 shares·also $372 on NO
$-792INV $1.1K · WR 58.7%
P
paddaa🥉
Entry 21¢·2,764.5 shares
$-50INV $589 · WR 61.1%
C
Capital-Endodermhedged
Entry 90¢·324.7 shares·also $155 on NO
$-230INV $293 · WR 60.4%
9
98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF
Entry 22¢·500 shares
$-13INV $110 · WR 63.4%
T
Tremendous-Chaoshedged
Entry 70¢·36 shares·also $1 on NO
$-18INV $25 · WR 58.4%
A
adasol
Entry 19¢·35 shares
+$0INV $7 · WR 66.9%
K
KG008
Entry 26¢·20 shares
$-1INV $5 · WR 77.4%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 18¢·3.1 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.4%
M
mad4x
Entry 18¢·3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.0%
Showing top 10 of 11

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 36% YES: J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran…