Geopolitics116 days left
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$21.8K
211 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 78 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs16 NO
94%
94% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$2+11 new NO$702
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $988 is directional: YES $4·NO $985YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-2.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+45.5%)
Whales
16
B
Bagnall🥇
Entry 95¢·987 shares
Invested
$939
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $939 · WR 76.9%
W
Woodleigh🥈
Entry 95¢·908 shares
Invested
$864
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $864 · WR 60.0%
W
Westwood8🥉
Entry 95¢·901 shares
Invested
$857
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $857 · WR 75.0%
T
TronOG
Entry 95¢·673.2 shares
Invested
$642
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $642 · WR 77.1%
E
enrico-vasaio
Entry 95¢·218.2 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $206 · WR 63.8%
R
Robbb
Entry 96¢·100 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $96 · WR 81.0%
A
Ahpo
Entry 96¢·22.4 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
92.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $22 · WR 92.4%
W
Windsorley
Entry 4¢·455 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$418
+$418INV $18 · WR 57.1%
B
Battersby
Entry 4¢·450 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$413
+$413INV $18 · WR 57.1%
T
Telfowfrd
Entry 4¢·444 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$408
+$408INV $17 · WR 55.6%
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