Bagnall · Polymarket wallet 0xea43…cd13

Wallet snapshot

Bagnall has made 54 trades on Polymarket across 22 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (55%) and sports (36%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$78. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No · $2 · 96¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes · $0 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Aug 13, 2026
• Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceYes · +$1 · Aug 2, 2026
• Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 2, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No · -$1 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · -$0 · Jun 2, 2026
• Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)No · +$32 · May 15, 2026
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No · +$1 · May 14, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?Yes · -$3 · May 11, 2026

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