Windsorley · Polymarket wallet 0x820c…d282

Wallet snapshot

Windsorley has made 58 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $10,000 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (57%) and sports (30%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L -$131. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $4 · 83¢ → 84¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $2 · 96¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?Yes · +$7 · Aug 14, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$9 · Aug 14, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · $0 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · -$5 · Aug 13, 2026
• U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No · $0 · Aug 3, 2026
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No · +$0 · Aug 2, 2026
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$10 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · -$0 · Jun 4, 2026
• Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)No · +$18 · May 11, 2026
• Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No · $0 · May 9, 2026

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