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Geopolitics90 days left

Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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YES Price
57Ā¢
57% implied
NO Price
43Ā¢
43% implied
Volume
$5.9K
279 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 67 traders

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 MARKETS Ā· $718.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs4 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars Ā· 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%Ā· net of hedges
+49 new YES$3.5K+41 new NO$2.3K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 22 buyers ā€” left out of momentum
7 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā€” all $1.1K is directional: YES $387Ā·NO $697
YES Team
Total Invested
$611
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+2.0%)
Whales
8
C
CaršŸ„‡
Entry 57Ā¢Ā·586.8 shares
$-2INV $333 Ā· WR 65.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyšŸ„ˆ
Entry 56Ā¢Ā·400 shares
+$6INV $222 Ā· WR 57.8%
M
Mithrandir.šŸ„‰
Entry 58Ā¢Ā·40 shares
$-1INV $23 Ā· WR 70.5%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 57Ā¢Ā·24 shares
$-0INV $14 Ā· WR 66.2%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 59Ā¢Ā·13.1 shares
$-0INV $8 Ā· WR 55.4%
S
spacexstar
Entry 59Ā¢Ā·9 shares
$-0INV $5 Ā· WR 64.1%
M
mad4x
Entry 61Ā¢Ā·6 shares
$-0INV $4 Ā· WR 56.5%
S
ssecondooption
Entry 11Ā¢Ā·21.2 shares
+$10INV $2 Ā· WR 62.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 64% YES: Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iranā€¦