Geopolitics90 days left
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
56Ā¢
56% implied
NO Price
44Ā¢
44% implied
Volume
$4.9K
244 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 60 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS Ā· $718.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs4 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars Ā· 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 69%Ā· net of hedges
+40 new YES$3.1K+48 new NO$1.9K
$1.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 27 buyers ā left out of momentum
6 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $789 is directional: YES $415Ā·NO $373YES Team
Total Invested
$417
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-0.9%)
Whales
6
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyš„
Entry 56Ā¢Ā·400 shares
Invested
$226
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $226 Ā· WR 57.8%
C
Carš„
Entry 55Ā¢Ā·281.8 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $156 Ā· WR 65.0%
M
Mithrandir.š„
Entry 57Ā¢Ā·40 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $23 Ā· WR 70.5%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 56Ā¢Ā·13.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 Ā· WR 66.2%
M
mad4x
Entry 56Ā¢Ā·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 Ā· WR 56.5%
S
SakuraDevilhedged
Entry 38Ā¢Ā·5 sharesĀ·also $3 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 Ā· WR 72.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$377
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.1%)
Whales
4
P
paddaaš„
Entry 43Ā¢Ā·805.7 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $350 Ā· WR 61.1%
V
viniiš„
Entry 43Ā¢Ā·51.4 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 Ā· WR 65.7%
S
SakuraDevilš„hedged
Entry 66Ā¢Ā·5 sharesĀ·also $2 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 Ā· WR 72.3%
B
big-bird1
Entry 47Ā¢Ā·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 68.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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