Geopolitics116 days left
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$30.9K
567 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 130 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs9 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$17+6 new NO$169
$15 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $69 is directional: YES $8·NO $61YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-71.9%)
Whales
9
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·2,106.2 shares·also $781 on NO
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-1420
$-1420INV $1.8K · WR 85.0%
C
conkj🥈
Entry 71¢·80 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $57 · WR 55.2%
V
vinii🥉hedged
Entry 2¢·943.7 shares·also $800 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $20 · WR 65.5%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...hedged
Entry 117¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $12 · WR 57.1%
T
Talkative-Wormhedged
Entry 144¢·5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 71.5%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 26¢·24 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 65.9%
M
maomao228
Entry 17¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 63.8%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 81¢·2.2 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 55.5%
J
Juvenile-Employ
Entry 19¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
74.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+94.2%)
Whales
9
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 49¢·1,630.7 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$800
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$561
+$561INV $800 · WR 65.5%
P
poljdnn17🥈hedged
Entry 37¢·2,086.2 shares·also $1.8K on YES
Invested
$781
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$961
+$961INV $781 · WR 85.0%
G
ghorrock🥉
Entry 78¢·71.7 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $56 · WR 57.8%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...hedged
Entry 53¢·10 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 57.1%
T
Talkative-Wormhedged
Entry 80¢·5 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 71.5%
S
stra-h22
Entry 9¢·32 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $3 · WR 81.6%
R
romanew-crypto
Entry 48¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 67.1%
H
hspje89
Entry 84¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.1%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 21¢·2.2 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 55.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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