Geopolitics70 days left
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$75.1K
1,457 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 269 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $1.28M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs18 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$14+2 new NO$81
$13 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
85.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-57.1%)
Whales
10
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·2,106.2 shares·also $781 on NO
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-1462
$-1462INV $1.8K · WR 87.2%
2
2dd3🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·256.8 shares·also $85 on NO
Invested
$208
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-171
$-171INV $208 · WR 83.3%
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥉hedged
Entry 110¢·96.8 shares·also $41 on NO
Invested
$106
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $106 · WR 58.7%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...hedged
Entry 117¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $12 · WR 55.7%
I
IgnoredInMostRoomshedged
Entry 301¢·2.9 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 66.2%
T
Talkative-Wormhedged
Entry 144¢·5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 68.8%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 34¢·10 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 70.4%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 44¢·3.1 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.3%
1
0x18283a8c...hedged
Entry 86¢·1.2 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.5%
V
viniihedged
Entry 0¢·3,772.4 shares·also $3.0K on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$546
+$546INV $1 · WR 65.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
68.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.4K(+63.3%)
Whales
18
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 55¢·5,514.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$1672
+$1672INV $3.0K · WR 65.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 86¢·1,062 shares
Invested
$912
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $912 · WR 57.6%
P
poljdnn17🥉hedged
Entry 37¢·2,086.2 shares·also $1.8K on YES
Invested
$781
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$1003
+$1003INV $781 · WR 87.2%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 88¢·200 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $176 · WR 74.2%
A
Aggggaa12
Entry 86¢·183 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $157 · WR 75.7%
2
2dd3hedged
Entry 12¢·686.5 shares·also $208 on YES
Invested
$85
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$502
+$502INV $85 · WR 83.3%
A
aliiz
Entry 85¢·51 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $43 · WR 65.2%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 18¢·228.9 shares·also $106 on YES
Invested
$41
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$154
+$154INV $41 · WR 58.7%
K
KG008
Entry 76¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 77.4%
K
Konfucious
Entry 29¢·70 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $20 · WR 61.8%
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