Geopolitics90 days left
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
55Ā¢
55% implied
NO Price
45Ā¢
45% implied
Volume
$6.8K
280 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 73 traders Ā· 1 on both sides
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS Ā· $718.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs4 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 44% YES by dollars Ā· 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side Ā· 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 60%Ā· net of hedges
+55 new YES$3.8K+51 new NO$3.0K
$3.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 32 buyers ā left out of momentum
8 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
$3 of $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $580Ā·NO $750YES Team
Total Invested
$731
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$36(+5.0%)
Whales
8
C
Carš„
Entry 54Ā¢Ā·600 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $324 Ā· WR 65.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyš„
Entry 56Ā¢Ā·400 shares
Invested
$222
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $222 Ā· WR 57.8%
V
viniiš„hedged
Entry 45Ā¢Ā·334.9 sharesĀ·also $183 on NO
Invested
$150
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $150 Ā· WR 65.7%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 56Ā¢Ā·40 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $22 Ā· WR 70.5%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 52Ā¢Ā·11.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 Ā· WR 66.2%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 56Ā¢Ā·8.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 Ā· WR 55.4%
S
spacexstarhedged
Entry 57Ā¢Ā·3 sharesĀ·also $1 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 64.1%
M
mad4x
Entry 59Ā¢Ā·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 Ā· WR 56.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$941
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$29(-3.0%)
Whales
4
P
paddaaš„
Entry 44Ā¢Ā·1,701 shares
Invested
$750
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $750 Ā· WR 61.1%
V
viniiš„hedged
Entry 59Ā¢Ā·309.9 sharesĀ·also $150 on YES
Invested
$183
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $183 Ā· WR 65.7%
S
SakuraDevilš„
Entry 72Ā¢Ā·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 Ā· WR 72.3%
S
spacexstarhedged
Entry 45Ā¢Ā·3 sharesĀ·also $2 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
ā
āINV $1 Ā· WR 64.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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