arcjuice · Polymarket wallet 0x0ef9…8f58

Wallet snapshot

arcjuice has made 2,023 trades on Polymarket across 1,394 markets, $20K in volume. Most of it is in sports (84%) and politics (6%). On 1,264 resolved markets the win rate is 60.5%, lifetime P&L +$176. It holds 28 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?No · $61 · 68¢ → 70¢
• Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?No · $51 · 87¢ → 92¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 30% or more?No · $48 · 94¢ → 90¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 12%-15%?No · $45 · 83¢ → 83¢
• Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $44 · 90¢ → 95¢
• Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes · $41 · 69¢ → 80¢
• Will the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $39 · 85¢ → 87¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 15%-20%?No · $34 · 66¢ → 77¢
• Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?No · $27 · 65¢ → 84¢
• North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · $27 · 66¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETNo · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETNo · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETNo · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
• Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?No · +$2 · Nov 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETYes · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETYes · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETYes · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026

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