Politics3 days left
Will the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES Price
87¢
87% implied
NO Price
13¢
13% implied
Volume
$8.6K
281 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 116 traders
Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County Winner
2 MARKETS · $16.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs12 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 77%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$138+9 new NO$48
$18 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $563 is directional: YES $563·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$579
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$123(+21.2%)
Whales
9
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 71¢·339.2 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $242 · WR 56.7%
J
johnashbough🥈
Entry 80¢·200 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $160 · WR 56.6%
M
Mithrandir.🥉
Entry 56¢·100 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $56 · WR 69.0%
A
arcjuice
Entry 86¢·45 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 60.5%
G
GamGanapati
Entry 77¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $31 · WR 71.2%
R
reckoner
Entry 86¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $26 · WR 91.4%
M
musicenthusiasthedged
Entry 35¢·44.8 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $16 · WR 58.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 86¢·7.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 67.7%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 86¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 67.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$218
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$119(-54.6%)
Whales
12
K
korda77🥇
Entry 45¢·150 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $68 · WR 85.3%
M
merod🥈
Entry 27¢·142 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $39 · WR 84.4%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 20¢·174.5 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $35 · WR 79.4%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 45¢·40 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $18 · WR 88.8%
M
musicenthusiasthedged
Entry 38¢·44.8 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $17 · WR 58.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 37¢·29 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $11 · WR 66.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 20¢·40 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 72.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 12¢·50 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 86.8%
C
0xc34fc382...
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 74.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 23¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 89.1%
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