reckoner · Polymarket wallet 0x9a7b…62d9

+$298 lifetime P&L · 91.1% win rate · 56 resolved markets · 0x9a7bdfa2416bf85c7d90ff744296a1eedd1f62d9

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Wallet snapshot

reckoner has made 243 trades on Polymarket across 74 markets, $6,504 in volume. Most of it is in politics (45%) and sports (16%). On 56 resolved markets the win rate is 91.1%, lifetime P&L +$298. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes · $145 · 76¢ → 91¢
Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027?No · $115 · 41¢ → 81¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $112 · 84¢ → 95¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes · $81 · 69¢ → 81¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes · $80 · 86¢ → 89¢
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No · $72 · 67¢ → 72¢
New pandemic in 2026?No · $67 · 90¢ → 96¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes · $58 · 90¢ → 88¢
Will Minnesota be the closest Senate race in 2026?No · $54 · 80¢ → 97¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $41 · 66¢ → 69¢

Latest closed positions

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
Will Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes · +$3 · Oct 8, 2026
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · +$3 · Sep 30, 2026
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · +$8 · Sep 30, 2026
Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?No · -$4 · Sep 26, 2026

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