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Politics3 days left

Will the Republicans win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$7.6K
317 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 110 traders

Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County Winner

2 MARKETS · $16.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$178+14 new NO$354
$97 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21 is directional: YES $17·NO $4
YES Team
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-69.0%)
Whales
3
A
Antony82🥇hedged
Entry 131¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
$-12INV $13 · WR 60.2%
M
Mithrandir.🥈
Entry 47¢·20 shares
$-7INV $9 · WR 69.0%
G
GamGanapati🥉
Entry 20¢·40 shares
$-3INV $8 · WR 71.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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