Politics21 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$5.5K
181 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 67 traders · 1 on both sides
NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $15.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 68%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$315+3 new NO$158
$42 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $41 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4·NO $35YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+179.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$101
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$36(+35.1%)
Whales
10
G
gmgmgmgmg🥇
Entry 50¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 88.7%
C
Car🥉hedged
Entry 88¢·20 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 64.9%
S
shannonperez
Entry 63¢·19 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 85.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 86.0%
A
Admirable-Hobby
Entry 50¢·15.7 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8 · WR 82.7%
H
hamid1919
Entry 68¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 75.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 66.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 56¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 84.5%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 91¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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