Geopolitics116 days left
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$16.8K
314 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 104 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $201 is directional: YES $17·NO $185YES Team
Total Invested
$64
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$31(-49.1%)
Whales
6
W
wendywu1🥇hedged
Entry 167¢·15.4 shares·also $53 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $26 · WR 56.6%
G
ghorrock🥈
Entry 28¢·57.5 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 57.8%
H
harelbendavid🥉hedged
Entry 57¢·19.8 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $11 · WR 56.7%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 32¢·17.9 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 63.8%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 66¢·6.2 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 68.3%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 26¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 65.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$293
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$44(+14.9%)
Whales
7
V
vinii🥇
Entry 69¢·262.2 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $182 · WR 65.5%
W
wendywu1🥈hedged
Entry 51¢·103.2 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$53
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $53 · WR 56.6%
M
maomao228🥉hedged
Entry 65¢·68.5 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $45 · WR 63.8%
H
harelbendavidhedged
Entry 39¢·19.8 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $8 · WR 56.7%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 45¢·6.2 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 68.3%
F
frso
Entry 56¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 70.8%
H
hspje89
Entry 73¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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