wienerdog · Polymarket wallet 0x187f…5fee

Wallet snapshot

wienerdog has made 5,697 trades on Polymarket across 193 markets, $1.3M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (61%) and politics (6%). On 117 resolved markets the win rate is 56.4%, lifetime P&L +$18K. It holds 35 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No · $7,835 · 63¢ → 67¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $6,925 · 83¢ → 83¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No · $2,925 · 38¢ → 44¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No · $2,752 · 57¢ → 72¢
• Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?No · $1,826 · 83¢ → 83¢
• Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?No · $1,823 · 72¢ → 82¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $1,744 · 47¢ → 45¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes · $1,365 · 49¢ → 64¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes · $1,258 · 23¢ → 21¢
• Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes · $962 · 60¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?No · +$371 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?No · +$65 · Oct 15, 2026
• US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes · +$310 · Oct 15, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes · +$60 · Oct 14, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No · -$176 · Oct 14, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$31 · Oct 13, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?

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