laureman · Polymarket wallet 0x1359…092e

Wallet snapshot

laureman has made 8,461 trades on Polymarket across 191 markets, $3.8M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (50%) and politics (11%). On 96 resolved markets the win rate is 86.5%, lifetime P&L +$7,584. It holds 20 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $24K · 84¢ → 82¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $17K · 85¢ → 86¢
• Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes · $12K · 80¢ → 82¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Yes · $9,857 · 91¢ → 97¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $9,725 · 84¢ → 91¢
• France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?No · $4,932 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No · $4,795 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?No · $3,375 · 82¢ → 98¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes · $2,269 · 67¢ → 66¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1,194 · 46¢ → 37¢

Latest closed positions

• France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?No · +$8 · Oct 26, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes · -$372 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes · -$132 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No · -$31 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$47 · Oct 26, 2026
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$120 · Oct 26, 2026

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