YES Price
80¢
80% implied
NO Price
20¢
20% implied
Volume
$33.0K
159 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 79 traders
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
11 MARKETS · $5.49M MATCHEDSmart Money
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31
32¢+18¢$512.9K57/57US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31+18¢32¢
$512.9K57/57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15
52¢+4¢$238.2K48/37US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15+4¢52¢
$238.2K48/37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22
45¢−12¢$1822/4US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22−12¢45¢
$1822/4
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30
38¢+9¢$618.5K61/70US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30+9¢38¢
$618.5K61/70
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8
62¢+24¢$4.9K6/1US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8+24¢62¢
$4.9K6/1
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17
96¢−22¢$376.6K42/15US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17−22¢96¢
$376.6K42/15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18
92¢−10¢$142.8K23/5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18−10¢92¢
$142.8K23/5
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22
86¢+5¢$92.6K30/3US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22+5¢86¢
$92.6K30/3
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24
84¢−26¢$35.5K7/5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24−26¢84¢
$35.5K7/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs9 NO
63%38%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 75% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 82%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$22.1K+24 new NO$5.3K
$1.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13.3K is directional: YES $10.0K·NO $3.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$10.1K
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$456(+4.5%)
Whales
15
M
MisTKy🥇
Entry 80¢·7,344.4 shares
Invested
$5.9K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $5.9K · WR 71.3%
U
ULYSSES18🥈
Entry 78¢·2,300 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $1.8K · WR 83.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 83¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $1.2K · WR 57.6%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 81¢·686 shares
Invested
$555
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $555 · WR 84.7%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 81¢·500 shares
Invested
$405
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $405 · WR 74.2%
L
Lolakishedged
Entry 26¢·515.2 shares·also $2.0K on NO
Invested
$133
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$279
+$279INV $133 · WR 61.7%
G
Gluckykluckyhedged
Entry 24¢·109.6 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $26 · WR 81.6%
L
laureman
Entry 17¢·148.8 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $25 · WR 90.8%
M
Maximus374◆Proven
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 72.8%
Y
ykh1
Entry 83¢·16 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 87.0%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-32.9%)
Whales
9
L
Lolakis🥇hedged
Entry 83¢·2,458 shares·also $133 on YES
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-1544
$-1544INV $2.0K · WR 61.7%
H
horatio🥈
Entry 21¢·9,073.4 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-177
$-177INV $1.9K · WR 57.7%
T
Trading4Fridge🥉
Entry 20¢·5,339 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $1.1K · WR 57.5%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 18¢·1,071.7 shares
Invested
$198
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $198 · WR 82.7%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven
Entry 20¢·496.4 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $99 · WR 64.8%
G
Gluckykluckyhedged
Entry 83¢·109.6 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $90 · WR 81.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 21¢·210 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $44 · WR 72.1%
A
adasol
Entry 17¢·102 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 67.2%
M
Milin-dc
Entry 20¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 60.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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