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27 days left

France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$74.6K
220 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 96 traders · 1 on both sides

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?

3 MARKETS · $159.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs11 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+47 new YES$1.5K+43 new NO$36.8K
$1.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $15.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $15.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+55.7%)
Whales
3
A
Anjun🥇hedged
Entry 2¢·333 shares·also $320 on NO
+$4INV $5 · WR 58.7%
D
Dleurogo🥈
Entry 2¢·157.9 shares
+$1INV $3 · WR 56.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 2¢·25.6 shares·also $169 on NO
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 21% YES: France declares state of siege…