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27 days left

France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$72.1K
204 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 89 traders

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?

3 MARKETS · $156.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+63 new YES$2.0K+51 new NO$49.3K
$2.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 27 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $15.7K is directional: YES $5·NO $15.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
57.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+30.5%)
Whales
3
A
Anjun🥇hedged
Entry 2¢·333 shares·also $320 on NO
+$3INV $5 · WR 58.7%
D
Dleurogo🥈
Entry 2¢·157.9 shares
+$0INV $3 · WR 56.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉
Entry 2¢·75.6 shares
+$0INV $2 · WR 55.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 23% YES: France declares state of siege…