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Geopolitics20 days left

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$103.4K
2,148 trades
Smart Whales
99
of 420 traders · 5 on both sides

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

4 MARKETS · $189.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

51 YESvs53 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars · 41 YES vs 36 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%· net of hedges
+58 new YES$3.3K+30 new NO$5.9K
$2.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
13 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$268 of $19.5K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $15.2K·NO $4.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$15.9K
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.4K(-46.6%)
Whales
51
W
whigProven🥇
Entry 66¢·6,748.8 shares
$-2401INV $4.4K · WR 63.1%
S
SleeperHunter🥈
Entry 68¢·2,301.6 shares
$-878INV $1.6K · WR 74.1%
C
CIOH🥉
Entry 62¢·2,290.4 shares
$-729INV $1.4K · WR 65.8%
T
tsybka
Entry 58¢·1,755.3 shares
$-496INV $1.0K · WR 86.0%
R
Raskell
Entry 55¢·1,266.8 shares
$-312INV $692 · WR 62.8%
C
Carhedged
Entry 32¢·2,053 shares·also $11 on NO
$-50INV $666 · WR 64.9%
C
Carpfisher
Entry 66¢·965 shares
$-347INV $637 · WR 59.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 68¢·831.6 shares
$-313INV $562 · WR 55.3%
M
molodoyyProven
Entry 48¢·1,116.8 shares
$-202INV $537 · WR 63.6%
L
lottonakamoto
Entry 71¢·630.6 shares
$-258INV $448 · WR 69.9%
Showing top 10 of 51

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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