PashaAsOracul · Polymarket wallet 0x4fbf…f319

+$7,329 lifetime P&L · 71.6% win rate · 88 resolved markets · 0x4fbfee91cb92887382dfc18387b87eba7954f319

LIVE · AUTO-REFRESH 60S

Wallet snapshot

PashaAsOracul has made 506 trades on Polymarket across 107 markets, $127K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (74%) and politics (15%). On 88 resolved markets the win rate is 71.6%, lifetime P&L +$7,329. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No · $7,575 · 64¢ → 66¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No · $4,855 · 74¢ → 88¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?No · $2,578 · 86¢ → 97¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes · $293 · 34¢ → 22¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No · $169 · 40¢ → 36¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 12, 2026?Yes · $45 · 93¢ → 85¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes · $20 · 23¢ → 3¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes · $9 · 19¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

Will Russia target Kyiv on November 11, 2026?Yes · +$5 · Nov 11, 2026
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No · -$49 · Nov 10, 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 10, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Nov 10, 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 9, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Nov 9, 2026
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$37 · Nov 7, 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 6, 2026?Yes · -$9 · Nov 6, 2026
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.