Geopolitics24 days left

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

YES Price
61¢
61% implied
NO Price
39¢
39% implied
Volume
$74.3K
1,455 trades
Smart Whales
80
of 349 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

46 YESvs35 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 36 YES vs 24 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 64%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$566+18 new NO$934
$220 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$180 of $15.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $13.6K·NO $2.2K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 55% YES: Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic…