Geopolitics116 days left
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$5.8K
133 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 52 traders · 1 on both sides
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+1 new YES$1+3 new NO$126
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $29 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $27·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$274
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$208(-76.0%)
Whales
3
H
hosoon123🥇hedged
Entry 93¢·264 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$247
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-216
$-216INV $247 · WR 84.0%
1
101456🥈
Entry 9¢·260.5 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $23 · WR 55.4%
G
ghorrock🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·21.3 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 57.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$57
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$196(+341.8%)
Whales
4
H
hosoon123🥇hedged
Entry 14¢·264 shares·also $247 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$196
+$196INV $38 · WR 84.0%
M
maomao228🥈
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 63.8%
H
hspje89🥉
Entry 90¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.1%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 86¢·0.6 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 57.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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