Geopolitics116 days left
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$24.1K
422 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 110 traders · 1 on both sides
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$20+9 new NO$1.7K
$38 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7 of $142 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4·NO $131YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-88.4%)
Whales
7
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·855.2 shares·also $233 on NO
Invested
$722
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-641
$-641INV $722 · WR 85.0%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·685.6 shares·also $159 on NO
Invested
$624
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-559
$-559INV $624 · WR 65.5%
1
123f18🥉hedged
Entry 88¢·259.6 shares·also $72 on NO
Invested
$228
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-203
$-203INV $228 · WR 92.3%
C
conkj
Entry 39¢·60 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $23 · WR 55.2%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 11¢·66.1 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 57.8%
P
politeste
Entry 18¢·19.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 69.2%
H
harelbendavidhedged
Entry 15¢·20.4 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 56.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$652
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+226.2%)
Whales
10
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 22¢·1,065.2 shares·also $722 on YES
Invested
$233
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$731
+$731INV $233 · WR 85.0%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 25¢·648 shares·also $624 on YES
Invested
$159
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$427
+$427INV $159 · WR 65.5%
H
hosoon123🥉
Entry 88¢·147 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $129 · WR 84.0%
1
123f18hedged
Entry 20¢·364.6 shares·also $228 on YES
Invested
$72
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$258
+$258INV $72 · WR 92.3%
H
harelbendavidhedged
Entry 91¢·20.5 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 56.7%
M
maomao228
Entry 85¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 63.8%
C
catalanpaths
Entry 25¢·60 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $15 · WR 67.7%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 82¢·4.4 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 57.8%
H
huiegj
Entry 16¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $3 · WR 85.3%
H
hspje89
Entry 95¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 80.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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