Geopolitics116 days left
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$32.2K
543 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 123 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs7 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $86 is directional: YES $18·NO $68YES Team
Total Invested
$33
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-40.1%)
Whales
5
G
ghorrock🥇
Entry 15¢·97.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $15 · WR 57.8%
M
maomao228🥈hedged
Entry 19¢·41.6 shares·also $116 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 63.8%
P
politeste🥉
Entry 19¢·30 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $6 · WR 69.2%
R
romanew-crypto
Entry 34¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 67.1%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 7¢·5.9 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 55.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$389
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$94(+24.2%)
Whales
7
V
vinii🥇
Entry 104¢·122.4 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $127 · WR 65.5%
M
maomao228🥈hedged
Entry 88¢·131.7 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$116
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $116 · WR 63.8%
C
conkj🥉
Entry 44¢·160 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $70 · WR 55.2%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 67¢·98.7 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $67 · WR 62.3%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 91¢·5.9 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 55.5%
H
huiegj
Entry 15¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $3 · WR 85.3%
H
hspje89
Entry 90¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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