Geopolitics70 days left
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$72.5K
1,370 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 221 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $1.28M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs15 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$42+3 new NO$214
$50 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.1K is directional: YES $0·NO $3.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$618
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$417(-67.5%)
Whales
5
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 40¢·863.8 shares·also $32 on NO
Invested
$341
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-199
$-199INV $341 · WR 65.8%
L
laureman🥈hedged
Entry 88¢·298 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$263
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-214
$-214INV $263 · WR 87.0%
1
0x18283a8c...🥉hedged
Entry 87¢·7.7 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $7 · WR 59.5%
A
Alfabaguera
Entry 13¢·48.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 59.8%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 57¢·1.3 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$936(+29.2%)
Whales
15
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 89¢·2,666.8 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-141
$-141INV $2.4K · WR 57.6%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven🥈
Entry 82¢·377.1 shares
Invested
$309
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $309 · WR 74.2%
H
Hellboy-winner🥉
Entry 84¢·200 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $168 · WR 79.8%
N
nedsta
Entry 78¢·96 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $75 · WR 87.3%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 67¢·98.7 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $67 · WR 62.3%
R
runechiters
Entry 66¢·100 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $66 · WR 61.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 77¢·50 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $39 · WR 69.6%
L
lauremanhedged
Entry 12¢·298 shares·also $263 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$212
+$212INV $37 · WR 87.0%
C
Compound-57
Entry 71¢·49.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $35 · WR 73.3%
V
viniihedged
Entry 3¢·986.2 shares·also $341 on YES
Invested
$32
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$792
+$792INV $32 · WR 65.8%
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