Geopolitics90 days left
Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
3Ā¢
3% implied
NO Price
97Ā¢
97% implied
Volume
$3.3K
69 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 40 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS Ā· $718.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs5 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars Ā· 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%Ā· net of hedges
+31 new YES$203+21 new NO$3.1K
$85 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers ā left out of momentum
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $1.3K is directional: YES $0Ā·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$191
Avg Win Rate
56.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$185(-97.2%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$153(+11.1%)
Whales
5
C
Carš„
Entry 96¢·1,313 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $1.3K Ā· WR 65.0%
M
memecoinerrrš„hedged
Entry 27¢·162.4 shares·also $191 on YES
Invested
$44
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $44 Ā· WR 56.4%
V
viniiš„
Entry 94¢·45 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $42 Ā· WR 65.7%
M
mad4x
Entry 50¢·52 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $26 Ā· WR 56.5%
7
77bCcPrd2uGw
Entry 99¢·7.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 Ā· WR 61.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 385ms