Geopolitics90 days left

Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
3Ā¢
3% implied
NO Price
97Ā¢
97% implied
Volume
$3.3K
69 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 40 traders

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 MARKETS Ā· $718.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs5 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars Ā· 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%Ā· net of hedges
+31 new YES$203+21 new NO$3.1K
$85 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $0Ā·NO $1.3K

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 17% YES: Elon Musk attend a US x Iran…