Geopolitics116 days left
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$27.0K
370 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 110 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs10 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%
+1 new YES$2+1 new NO$5
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $824 is directional: YES $194·NO $630YES Team
Total Invested
$690
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$434(-62.9%)
Whales
6
C
Capital-Endoderm🥇hedged
Entry 90¢·324.7 shares·also $155 on NO
Invested
$293
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-213
$-213INV $293 · WR 61.2%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 94¢·189.4 shares·also $99 on NO
Invested
$179
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $179 · WR 65.5%
P
puravida🥉
Entry 42¢·385 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $162 · WR 60.6%
G
ghorrock
Entry 32¢·99.4 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $32 · WR 57.8%
H
harelbendavidhedged
Entry 68¢·27 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $19 · WR 56.7%
N
Nowayfolding
Entry 31¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 63.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$893
Avg Win Rate
78.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$290(+32.5%)
Whales
10
N
nonkenny90🥇
Entry 66¢·774 shares
Invested
$511
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $511 · WR 90.8%
C
Capital-Endoderm🥈hedged
Entry 48¢·324.6 shares·also $293 on YES
Invested
$155
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $155 · WR 61.2%
V
vinii🥉hedged
Entry 37¢·264.9 shares·also $179 on YES
Invested
$99
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $99 · WR 65.5%
R
runechiters
Entry 72¢·100 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $72 · WR 60.7%
T
Te0n2
Entry 62¢·29.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $18 · WR 66.3%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...
Entry 68¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 57.1%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 53¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $11 · WR 74.4%
H
harelbendavidhedged
Entry 34¢·27 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $9 · WR 56.7%
S
spacexstar
Entry 61¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 66.7%
H
hspje89
Entry 76¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.1%
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