Geopolitics70 days left
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
20Ā¢
20% implied
NO Price
80Ā¢
80% implied
Volume
$89.2K
1,755 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 264 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS Ā· $1.28M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs18 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars Ā· 7 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%
+1 new YES$4+1 new NO$16
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $6.3K is directional: YES $757Ā·NO $5.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.6K
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-62.0%)
Whales
12
V
viniiš„hedged
Entry 97Ā¢Ā·1,496.3 sharesĀ·also $499 on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-1153
$-1153INV $1.5K Ā· WR 65.8%
S
StupidMonkeyyyš„hedged
Entry 78Ā¢Ā·1,356.9 sharesĀ·also $372 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-785
$-785INV $1.1K Ā· WR 58.7%
P
paddaaš„
Entry 21Ā¢Ā·2,764.5 shares
Invested
$590
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $590 Ā· WR 61.1%
C
Capital-Endodermhedged
Entry 90Ā¢Ā·324.7 sharesĀ·also $155 on NO
Invested
$293
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-228
$-228INV $293 Ā· WR 60.2%
9
98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF
Entry 22Ā¢Ā·500 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $110 Ā· WR 63.4%
C
Car
Entry 17Ā¢Ā·267.7 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $45 Ā· WR 65.0%
T
Tremendous-Chaoshedged
Entry 70Ā¢Ā·36 sharesĀ·also $1 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $25 Ā· WR 58.5%
A
adasol
Entry 19Ā¢Ā·35 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 Ā· WR 67.7%
K
KG008
Entry 26Ā¢Ā·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 Ā· WR 77.4%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 18Ā¢Ā·3.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 Ā· WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.9K
Avg Win Rate
69.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+24.0%)
Whales
18
P
peterfromfamilyguyš„
Entry 78Ā¢Ā·3,012.8 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $2.3K Ā· WR 60.4%
N
nonkenny90āProvenš„
Entry 73Ā¢Ā·2,469 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
91.0%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $1.8K Ā· WR 91.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyš„
Entry 84Ā¢Ā·664.7 shares
Invested
$558
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $558 Ā· WR 57.6%
T
Tenebrus7āProven
Entry 80Ā¢Ā·628.2 shares
Invested
$506
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $506 Ā· WR 74.2%
V
viniihedged
Entry 39Ā¢Ā·1,294 sharesĀ·also $1.5K on YES
Invested
$499
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$537
+$537INV $499 Ā· WR 65.8%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 27Ā¢Ā·1,358.5 sharesĀ·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$372
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$714
+$714INV $372 Ā· WR 58.7%
P
puravida
Entry 76Ā¢Ā·385 shares
Invested
$293
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $293 Ā· WR 59.7%
C
Capital-Endodermhedged
Entry 48Ā¢Ā·324.6 sharesĀ·also $293 on YES
Invested
$155
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$105
+$105INV $155 Ā· WR 60.2%
Z
Zenith-Nadir
Entry 75Ā¢Ā·161.6 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $122 Ā· WR 60.7%
T
Te0n2
Entry 80Ā¢Ā·112.5 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
ā
āINV $90 Ā· WR 66.9%
Showing top 10 of 18
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