Geopolitics90 days left

Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
48ยข
48% implied
NO Price
52ยข
52% implied
Volume
$4.2K
142 trades
Smart Whales
2
of 54 traders

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 MARKETS ยท $718.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs1 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars ยท 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 60%ยท net of hedges
+33 new YES$2.4K+40 new NO$1.8K
$768 of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $772 is directional: YES $10ยทNO $762

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thaniโ€ฆ