Geopolitics116 days left
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$13.5K
193 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 68 traders · 1 on both sides
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs6 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $208 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $32·NO $175YES Team
Total Invested
$141
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$104(-73.6%)
Whales
6
N
NUPlaystation🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·107.4 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$91
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $91 · WR 65.5%
P
puravida🥈
Entry 19¢·140 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $27 · WR 60.6%
N
Nowayfolding🥉
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $17 · WR 63.7%
V
vinii
Entry 22¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 65.5%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 21¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 65.9%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 12¢·4.2 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$200
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$161(+80.5%)
Whales
6
N
nonkenny90🥇
Entry 81¢·190 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $154 · WR 90.8%
N
NUPlaystation🥈hedged
Entry 13¢·107.4 shares·also $91 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $14 · WR 65.5%
C
conkj🥉
Entry 12¢·91.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $11 · WR 55.2%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 87¢·12.2 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 57.8%
H
harelbendavid
Entry 88¢·11.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 56.7%
H
hspje89
Entry 88¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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