Geopolitics70 days left
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$25.7K
646 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 142 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $1.28M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$5+4 new NO$144
$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
73.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-95.6%)
Whales
3
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 102¢·815.8 shares·also $151 on NO
Invested
$833
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-796
$-796INV $833 · WR 65.8%
P
poljdnn17🥈hedged
Entry 104¢·493 shares·also $233 on NO
Invested
$515
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-493
$-493INV $515 · WR 87.2%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·15 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 55.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.1K(+130.1%)
Whales
11
P
PMTraderAdam◆Proven🥇
Entry 94¢·400 shares
Invested
$376
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $376 · WR 79.5%
C
Car🥈
Entry 94¢·389.6 shares
Invested
$367
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $367 · WR 65.0%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven🥉
Entry 94¢·300 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $282 · WR 74.2%
P
poljdnn17hedged
Entry 33¢·701.3 shares·also $515 on YES
Invested
$233
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$437
+$437INV $233 · WR 87.2%
V
viniihedged
Entry 8¢·1,819.5 shares·also $833 on YES
Invested
$151
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$1586
+$1586INV $151 · WR 65.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 93¢·156 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $145 · WR 57.6%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...hedged
Entry 63¢·15 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 55.7%
C
catalanpaths
Entry 35¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $9 · WR 66.4%
M
mad4x
Entry 94¢·9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 57.3%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 96¢·4.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 55.3%
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