Geopolitics116 days left
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$19.4K
484 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 110 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs5 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$1+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.0K is directional: YES $14·NO $2.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$532
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$500(-94.1%)
Whales
3
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 104¢·493 shares·also $233 on NO
Invested
$515
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-493
$-493INV $515 · WR 85.0%
G
ghorrock🥈
Entry 7¢·190.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $14 · WR 57.8%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·15 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 57.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$550(+24.1%)
Whales
5
V
vinii🥇
Entry 91¢·2,222.1 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $2.0K · WR 65.5%
P
poljdnn17🥈hedged
Entry 33¢·701.3 shares·also $515 on YES
Invested
$233
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$437
+$437INV $233 · WR 85.0%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...🥉hedged
Entry 63¢·15 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 57.1%
C
catalanpaths
Entry 35¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $9 · WR 67.7%
H
hspje89
Entry 95¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 80.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 189ms