Geopolitics116 days left
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$12.9K
296 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 77 traders · 1 on both sides
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs4 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $25 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $23YES Team
Total Invested
$808
Avg Win Rate
91.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$635(-78.7%)
Whales
5
1
123f18🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·936.8 shares·also $388 on NO
Invested
$791
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-627
$-627INV $791 · WR 92.3%
M
maomao228🥈
Entry 26¢·30 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 63.8%
H
harelbendavid🥉hedged
Entry 80¢·6.2 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 56.7%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 59¢·6 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 55.5%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 18¢·5 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$413
Avg Win Rate
90.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$474(+114.8%)
Whales
4
1
123f18🥇hedged
Entry 38¢·1,031.8 shares·also $791 on YES
Invested
$388
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$464
+$464INV $388 · WR 92.3%
G
ghorrock🥈hedged
Entry 76¢·32.1 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $24 · WR 57.8%
H
harelbendavid🥉hedged
Entry 20¢·6.2 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 56.7%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 2¢·6 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 55.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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