Geopolitics70 days left
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$55.6K
1,040 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 217 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $1.28M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs13 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$377+17 new NO$3.3K
$636 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.6K is directional: YES $7·NO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$224(+16.9%)
Whales
7
1
123f18🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·936.8 shares·also $388 on NO
Invested
$791
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
$-552
$-552INV $791 · WR 92.0%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 7¢·4,846.1 shares·also $4.1K on NO
Invested
$327
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$909
+$909INV $327 · WR 65.8%
2
2fef2🥉hedged
Entry 81¢·244 shares·also $52 on NO
Invested
$197
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $197 · WR 82.4%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 22¢·30 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 59.9%
P
PerformSleepState
Entry 19¢·32.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 55.3%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 52¢·6 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 55.3%
1
0x18283a8c...
Entry 20¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.2K
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+22.8%)
Whales
13
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 60¢·6,726.8 shares·also $327 on YES
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$952
+$952INV $4.1K · WR 65.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 81¢·1,325.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $1.1K · WR 57.6%
1
123f18🥉hedged
Entry 38¢·1,031.8 shares·also $791 on YES
Invested
$388
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$381
+$381INV $388 · WR 92.0%
A
adasol
Entry 73¢·319 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $233 · WR 67.7%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 75¢·250 shares
Invested
$188
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $188 · WR 64.0%
K
Konfucious
Entry 74¢·180 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $133 · WR 61.8%
P
Periodic-Default
Entry 52¢·100 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $52 · WR 64.4%
2
2fef2hedged
Entry 20¢·259 shares·also $197 on YES
Invested
$52
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$141
+$141INV $52 · WR 82.4%
L
Lllhu
Entry 83¢·50 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $42 · WR 72.3%
F
fgdhdghrthr
Entry 27¢·37 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $10 · WR 62.3%
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