PerformSleepState · Polymarket wallet 0xbdad…3ef7

Wallet snapshot

PerformSleepState has made 3,929 trades on Polymarket across 774 markets, $39K in volume. Most of it is in sports (31%) and geopolitics (12%). On 616 resolved markets the win rate is 55.2%, lifetime P&L +$1,280. It holds 79 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No · $112 · 77¢ → 84¢
• Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $0.50?Yes · $103 · 7¢ → 100¢
• Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?No · $102 · 90¢ → 97¢
• Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 16, 2026?Yes · $87 · 84¢ → 90¢
• Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $112.5B by October 31?No · $60 · 18¢ → 56¢
• Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $107.5B by October 31?Yes · $46 · 75¢ → 43¢
• Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?No · $36 · 69¢ → 70¢
• Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $29.5B by October 31?No · $18 · 76¢ → 89¢
• Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Yes · $17 · 18¢ → 33¢
• Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes · $16 · 36¢ → 55¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$4 · Oct 14, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 13, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.4B?Yes · -$0 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 13?No · +$87 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 13?Yes · +$174 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.