Tech/AI54 days left
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $10 in 2026?
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$2.2K
76 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 36 traders
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $15.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $208 is directional: YES $0·NO $208YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+140.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$251
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$33(-13.1%)
Whales
6
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥇
Entry 68¢·197.3 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $135 · WR 58.7%
P
parameter1🥈
Entry 79¢·83.8 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $66 · WR 62.4%
K
Kactus🥉hedged
Entry 74¢·47.3 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$35
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $35 · WR 74.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 71.9%
B
Bg1211Aesti
Entry 86¢·5.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 73.9%
A
ansatz
Entry 64¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 78.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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