Tech/AI80 days left
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $30 in 2026?
YES Price
57¢
57% implied
NO Price
43¢
43% implied
Volume
$2.4K
127 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 51 traders
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $13.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$34+1 new NO$8
$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $111 is directional: YES $0·NO $111YES Team
Total Invested
$154
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$88(+57.2%)
Whales
3
H
hithitfar🥇
Entry 36¢·399 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $143 · WR 59.7%
S
Scoopdewhoop🥈hedged
Entry 33¢·25 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 55.9%
G
G24L8🥉hedged
Entry 318¢·1 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 67.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$382
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-6.4%)
Whales
8
H
hitunfar🥇
Entry 50¢·380 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $190 · WR 61.1%
V
Viserys🥈
Entry 32¢·315 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $101 · WR 72.4%
C
CosmicCedar◆Proven🥉
Entry 59¢·40 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $24 · WR 90.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 33¢·60 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 72.2%
A
Aggggaa12
Entry 44¢·42 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 72.5%
S
Scoopdewhoophedged
Entry 67¢·25 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $17 · WR 55.9%
Q
Quantum777
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 80.5%
G
G24L8hedged
Entry 326¢·1 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 67.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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