Tech/AI80 days left
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $10 in 2026?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$2.0K
107 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 33 traders
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $13.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$12+1 new NO$16
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $187 is directional: YES $0·NO $187YES Team
Total Invested
$24
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-49.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$197
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$22(+11.1%)
Whales
4
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥇
Entry 68¢·197.3 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $135 · WR 59.0%
P
parameter1🥈
Entry 79¢·63.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $50 · WR 61.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 72.2%
A
ansatz
Entry 64¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 78.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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